CoastLens

Coastal impact brief

Storm Kathleen, 5–8 April 2024

Pilot stretches at Kilmore Quay and Courtown · County Wexford

Draft · not issued Prototype / not field validated

Event storm-kathleen-2024
Run kathleen-replay-M5-hourly
Window 2024-04-05 00:00 to 2024-04-08 23:00 UTC
Steps 93 hourly
CRS EPSG:2157
Vertical datum Malin Head

Across the 93 hourly steps of Storm Kathleen, the highest impact band returned for any pilot segment was Overwash, reached at 3 of 9 segments. The strongest sea state in the window was a significant wave height of 8.44 m at 15:00 UTC 06 Apr. One segment returned NO_DATA for the whole window.

Segments assessed95 at Kilmore Quay, 4 at Courtown
Highest displayed bandOverwash3 of 9 segments
Peak sea state8.44 mSignificant wave height, 15:00 UTC 06 Apr
Segments with no result1Returned NO_DATA for the whole window
Locator. A Kilmore Quay, B Courtown. County boundary and coastline from the same source layers the CoastLens console draws.
AKilmore QuayBCourtown20 kmN
Kilmore Quay pilot stretch, 5 segments over 993 m, coloured by the highest band each segment reached during the window.
A1A2A3A4A5500 mN
Impact bands · Sallenger (2000) storm impact scale
InundationThe crest is continuously submerged.0 segments
OverwashWater passes over the crest and carries landward.3 segments
CollisionRun-up reaches the dune or defence toe.5 segments
SwashWave run-up stays on the beach face.0 segments
NO_DATANot enough supplied input to return a regime.1 segment
Read this brief with two limits in mind.

Wave input is measured. Water level is not: the run uses a synthesised semi-diurnal tide, held in the record as a prototype assumption rather than an observation, so the water levels behind these bands are modelled and not gauge readings. Segments are not ranked against each other, and no band here describes a property, a road or a person.

CoastLens coastal impact brief · Storm Kathleen · run kathleen-replay-M5-hourlyPrototype output. Not field validated. Not an issued council document.Page 1 of 4
EvidenceStorm Kathleen · Wexford · page 2 of 4

Conditions through the window

Both traces below are the engine inputs for this run, one hour per point, over the whole 5 to 8 April window. The dashed line is the modelled tide; the solid line is measured wave height. The marked hour is the strongest sea state in the window.

9.57.14.72.40.0Peak Hs 8.44 m · 15:00 UTC 06 Apr05 Apr06 Apr07 Apr08 AprHs (m), measuredTide (m), synthesised
Significant wave height, measured Tide, synthesised Peak sea state

Hourly series, 93 steps, 2024-04-05 00:00 to 2024-04-08 23:00 UTC. Heights in metres; tide to Malin Head.

What the result was built from

SourceStatusWhat it contributes
Marine Institute M5 buoyMeasured93 retained hourly wave observations across the window. Supplies significant wave height and period.
Synthesised semi-diurnal tidePrototype assumptionModelled water level, not observed. Carried through the run and labelled at every step.
INFOMAR exact-coordinate sampleMeasuredNearshore bathymetry and beach slope sampled at the segment coordinates.

Inputs recorded against every segment

Why the tide matters here.

Impact band depends on total water level, which is wave run-up added to still water level. The wave half of that sum is measured; the still water half is modelled. A council pilot would replace the synthesised tide with the observed gauge record, and the bands on page 1 would be recomputed from it. Until then these bands describe a reconstruction of the storm, not a survey of what the water did.

CoastLens coastal impact brief · Storm Kathleen · run kathleen-replay-M5-hourlyPrototype output. Not field validated. Not an issued council document.Page 2 of 4
Segment recordStorm Kathleen · Wexford · page 3 of 4

Every segment, in order along the coast

One row per 250 m segment, in chainage order along each pilot stretch. The band shown is the highest that segment reached at any hour in the window, with the hour it was first reached. Run-up is the engine's central estimate with its low and high envelope beneath it. Segments are listed in order of position, not of severity: this run returns no ranking between them. Supplied action reproduces the engine's own text for that band, verbatim; it is a default associated with the band, not an instruction from the council and not a judgement about this stretch.

RefStretchChainageLength Highest bandFirst reachedRun-up (m)Supplied action
A1Sea View / Bastardstown0–250 m250 mOverwash17:00 UTC 05 Apr2.77
2.04–3.68
Inspect within 72 hours
A2Sea View / Bastardstown250–372 m122 mOverwash16:00 UTC 06 Apr3.29
2.43–4.38
Inspect within 72 hours
A3Sea View / Bastardstown0–250 m250 mCollision02:00 UTC 05 Apr1.41
1.04–1.88
Survey at next scheduled round
A4Sea View / Bastardstown250–500 m250 mCollision15:00 UTC 05 Apr1.52
1.52–2.73
Survey at next scheduled round
A5Sea View / Bastardstown500–620 m120 mCollision17:00 UTC 05 Apr2.77
2.04–3.68
Survey at next scheduled round
B1Courtown / Kiltennel0–250 m250 mCollision02:00 UTC 05 Apr1.41
1.04–1.88
Survey at next scheduled round
B2Courtown / Kiltennel250–500 m250 mCollision02:00 UTC 05 Apr1.41
1.04–1.88
Survey at next scheduled round
B3Courtown / Kiltennel500–610 m110 mOverwash17:00 UTC 05 Apr2.77
2.04–3.68
Inspect within 72 hours
B4Courtown / Kiltennel0–251 m251 mNO_DATA——No action supplied
Courtown pilot stretch, 4 segments over 861 m, coloured by the highest band each segment reached. Refs match the table above.
B1B2B3B4500 mN
Kilmore Quay, repeated at the same scale for comparison.
A1A2A3A4A5500 mN
One segment carries no result, and it is shown rather than hidden.

B4 (Courtown / Kiltennel) returned NO_DATA at every step of the window. That is a reported outcome, not a blank: the engine had no elevation baseline it could use at those coordinates, so it declined to return a band rather than estimate one. A segment with no result is the clearest thing this pilot produces, because it names exactly where the county cannot yet answer the question.

CoastLens coastal impact brief · Storm Kathleen · run kathleen-replay-M5-hourlyPrototype output. Not field validated. Not an issued council document.Page 3 of 4
Technical appendixStorm Kathleen · Wexford · page 4 of 4

How the bands were produced

The engine is deterministic. The same bundle and the same segment geometry produce the same bands every time, and no language model sits anywhere in that path. This document formats a supplied result; it does not compute one, and it cannot show a number the engine did not return.

Impact scaleSallenger (2000) four-regime storm impact scale: Swash, Collision, Overwash, Inundation.
Run-upStockdon et al. (2006) empirical parameterisation, evaluated per segment per hour.
Engine executionengine.run executed once per hour; window evaluation is deferred in the engine
Wave inputMarine Institute M5 buoy, 93 retained hourly observations, MEASURED
Water level inputSynthesised semi-diurnal tide, PROTOTYPE_ASSUMPTION, not observed
Analytical CRSEPSG:2157. Display geometry in EPSG:4326.
Vertical datumMalin Head
Contract version0.1
Run statuscompleted, scenario status PROTOTYPE_NOT_FIELD_VALIDATED.

What each band means on the ground

What this brief does not say

What would change with council data.

Three inputs would move this from a reconstruction to a record: the observed tide gauge series for the event, the council's own post-storm inspection notes, and elevation coverage across the stretches that currently have none. The first two are held by the council; the third is the gap this pilot exists to measure.

CoastLens coastal impact brief · Storm Kathleen · run kathleen-replay-M5-hourlyPrototype output. Not field validated. Not an issued council document.Page 4 of 4